Cariari Pococí vs Barrio México analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
58.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariari Pococí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
JAC
1 - 0
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
LFC
52%
22%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
PGF
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CSU
4 - 2
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Barrio México
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
CSU
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
JAC
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ASE
0 - 0
BAR
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 0
LFC
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |