Ascenso Apertura Final
Global 2-3
Cariari Pococí vs Santa Ana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariari Pococí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 2
GUA
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
MRP
1 - 2
CAR
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
MRP
51%
23%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
ASE
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Ana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
EBC
54%
23%
24%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EBC
0 - 3
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
5 - 2
ANT
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 2
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EBC
3 - 4
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |