Cardiff MU vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
38%
25%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
FLI
2 - 2
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 0
GUI
87%
9%
4%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 4
TNS
8%
16%
76%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
TNS
5 - 1
CEF
90%
8%
2%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 4
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
TNS
3 - 1
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |