Cardiff MU vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
7º
6º
13
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
74.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25.5% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAR
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
CAR
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
COL
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAL
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
CAR
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
PON
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
PEN
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
TNS
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 0
PON
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |