Cardiff MU vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
6º
6º
44
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 5
TNS
36%
25%
38%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
CON
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 6
TNS
41%
23%
36%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAL
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
5 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
NEW
48%
24%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
TNS
38%
25%
38%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAR
43%
26%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |