Cardiff MU vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
AIR
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 3
CAR
21%
26%
53%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 2
CAR
9%
14%
77%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
PRO
27%
22%
51%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
PEN
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
NEW
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 0
CEF
61%
21%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 0
AAF
83%
11%
6%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
BAL
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |