Cardiff MU vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 0
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 1
BAR
43%
27%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
TNS
3 - 3
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 3
BAL
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
ABE
5 - 3
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 0
PRE
71%
16%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
NEW
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 2
ABE
61%
20%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 3
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |