Cardiff MU vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
6º
3º
18
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
15 | 45 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 39 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
20 | 38 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 36 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 33 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 33 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 32 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 27 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 25 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 22 |
10º
|
34% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
45% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 13 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92% | 80% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 5
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 2
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 3
CAR
11%
20%
69%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 0
CAR
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HAV
0 - 0
PEN
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
HAV
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
HAV
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 5
HAV
14%
20%
67%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GLO
4 - 1
HAV
12%
18%
70%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |