Cardiff MU vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
CON
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TNS
7 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 4
HAV
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 1
ABE
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
PON
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FLI
0 - 2
HAV
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 2
CAE
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |