Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 1-2
Cardiff MU vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CAR
0 - 1
CEF
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
GOR
2 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
12%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 2
RHY
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAN
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1999 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAR
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
CEL
3 - 3
GOR
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
GOR
2 - 1
NKO
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
GOR
2 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
NKM
2 - 0
GOR
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
BEL
0 - 0
GOR
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |