Q. Europa League Semi-finals
Global 0-8
Cardiff MU vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
69.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
GKS
6 - 0
CAR
83%
13%
5%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1994 |
CAR
0 - 2
GKS
18%
25%
57%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1997 |
CEL
3 - 0
DUN
62%
22%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1997 |
CEL
0 - 0
KIL
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
HIB
1 - 3
CEL
24%
27%
49%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
CEL
3 - 0
ABE
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
RAI
1 - 1
CEL
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |