Cardiff MU vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAR
47%
24%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 5
CAR
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PON
0 - 1
CAR
10%
18%
72%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
4 - 1
CEF
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 3
PEN
18%
23%
59%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 0
CEF
81%
13%
7%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 0
HOL
65%
19%
17%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
CEF
80%
14%
7%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | -1 |