Cardiff MU vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NEW
4 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CON
3 - 1
CAR
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BAL
4 - 1
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
TNS
5 - 0
CEF
82%
13%
6%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 3
BAL
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
CEF
2 - 4
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 1
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
4 - 1
CEF
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |