Cardiff MU vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAR
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 4
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CEF
2 - 1
LLA
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
CEF
3 - 4
AIR
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
CEF
50%
25%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CEF
2 - 3
LLA
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 0
CEF
38%
25%
36%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |