Cardiff MU vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
CAR
45%
26%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
CON
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ABE
2 - 2
CAR
32%
26%
41%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
AIR
1 - 1
CAR
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
CEF
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
40%
23%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
ABE
47%
23%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |