Cardiff MU vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 2
CAR
28%
26%
45%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 3
CON
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 1
TNS
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAL
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 3
TNS
11%
19%
71%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |