Cardiff MU vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
LLA
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
CEF
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAR
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 2
ABE
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CEF
4 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
NEW
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAR
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
5 - 0
GOY
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |