Cardiff MU vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BAN
3 - 2
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 1
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
7%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GUI
4 - 2
CAR
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAL
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
TNS
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 0
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAR
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |