Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TNS
5 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
HAV
0 - 2
CAR
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
CON
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
CAE
57%
22%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
CAE
41%
23%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 3
FLI
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 1
CAE
32%
24%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |