Cardiff MU vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
7º
6º
23
7º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
74.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25.5% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
CAR
25%
27%
48%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
HAV
58%
23%
18%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 5
TNS
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
LID
0 - 4
CAR
12%
20%
69%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CON
4 - 0
CAR
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 3
CAE
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
BAR
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 1
BAL
22%
25%
54%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 0
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 4
CON
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |