Cardiff MU vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
TNS
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
HAV
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAE
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
PEN
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |