Cardiff MU vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CON
6 - 1
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 0
LLA
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TON
1 - 4
CAR
9%
18%
73%
|
60 | 22 | 38 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
TNS
1 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAE
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAR
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 1
PEN
74%
16%
9%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +2 |