Cardiff MU vs Bangor City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
AIR
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAR
70%
19%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 0
RHY
31%
25%
45%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
CAR
76%
17%
7%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
5 - 0
CEF
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 2
BAN
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 2
TNS
39%
25%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
CEF
2 - 3
BAN
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 2
TNS
33%
23%
44%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BAN
3 - 2
RHY
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |