Cardiff MU vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
6º
6º
51
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAR
43%
26%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TNS
4 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 2
COL
68%
19%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAE
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 5
BAL
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 0
FMC
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 15 | 51 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
TNS
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |