Cardiff MU vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 3
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
CEF
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
PRE
0 - 2
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ABE
4 - 0
BAL
21%
20%
59%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
BAN
5 - 0
BAL
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
ABE
1 - 2
BAL
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 1
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
LLA
60%
22%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |