Cardiff MU vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
CON
20%
22%
58%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
TAF
59%
20%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
5 - 0
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
LID
0 - 2
CAR
31%
25%
43%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
RIS
0 - 2
CAR
27%
25%
49%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LID
2 - 2
RIS
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 3
LID
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
LID
2 - 3
CAE
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
LID
0 - 2
CAR
31%
25%
43%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TON
3 - 2
LID
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |