Cardiff MU vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
PON
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 1
CAR
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
CEF
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ABE
2 - 1
RTW
79%
13%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 3
CEF
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
STM
2 - 1
ABE
11%
14%
74%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 0
ABE
84%
11%
5%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
ABE
0 - 5
BAL
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -2 |