Cardiff MU vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAR
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
LLA
0 - 0
CAR
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAL
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 3
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 2
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABE
38%
25%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
TNS
4 - 0
ABE
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
ABE
7 - 1
PRE
46%
22%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
CON
5 - 1
ABE
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |