Cardiff City vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
COV
1 - 2
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
LEI
1 - 0
CAR
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
IPS
2 - 0
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
MID
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
PNE
3 - 0
CAR
34%
26%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
WAT
2 - 1
IPS
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
WAT
0 - 1
POS
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
WAT
0 - 1
SWA
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
DER
2 - 0
WAT
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 2
NEW
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |