Cardiff City vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2002 |
BOU
1 - 3
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2002 |
BHA
1 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
TRA
3 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 0
STO
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
WYC
0 - 1
CAR
45%
25%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2002 |
SWI
0 - 1
HUR
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
SWI
2 - 1
NOR
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2002 |
COL
1 - 3
SWI
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
WRE
2 - 2
SWI
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2002 |
SWI
1 - 0
NOT
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |