Cardiff City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
CAR
3 - 2
BOL
51%
23%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1923 |
OLD
3 - 1
CAR
35%
30%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1923 |
CAR
2 - 0
OLD
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1923 |
CAR
3 - 1
NTT
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1923 |
SHE
0 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
SUN
0 - 0
WHU
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1923 |
ASV
1 - 0
SUN
56%
22%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 0
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1923 |
BUR
2 - 0
SUN
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1923 |
MID
2 - 0
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |