Cardiff City vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1952 |
PNE
2 - 3
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1952 |
CAR
1 - 2
WBA
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1952 |
CAR
0 - 0
BUR
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1952 |
WBA
1 - 0
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1952 |
TOT
2 - 1
CAR
80%
12%
8%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1952 |
STO
1 - 0
NEW
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1952 |
STO
0 - 0
PNE
41%
25%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1952 |
WBA
3 - 2
STO
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1952 |
PNE
3 - 0
STO
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1952 |
STO
1 - 0
MID
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |