Cardiff City vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
CAR
0 - 1
HUR
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
HUR
1 - 0
CAR
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
CAR
1 - 1
BIR
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 0
CAR
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
CAR
3 - 0
LIV
45%
27%
27%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
STO
1 - 1
BBU
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
STO
2 - 0
BOL
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
BOL
1 - 1
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
STO
4 - 0
SHE
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
SHE
2 - 0
STO
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |