Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 2-1
Cardiff City vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
CAR
4 - 0
PLY
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 2
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1964 |
IPS
1 - 1
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
CAR
1 - 3
NOR
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
CRY
0 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 0
LEX
76%
15%
10%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 2
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
TOR
3 - 0
SCP
13%
21%
66%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
LGC
1 - 1
SCP
16%
21%
64%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 2
VIT
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |