EFL Cup 1/64
Global 2-4
Cardiff City vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1997 |
DAR
2 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
CAR
2 - 0
CUM
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1997 |
CAR
0 - 0
SCU
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
CAR
1 - 0
CHE
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
SOU
1 - 1
CUM
45%
27%
29%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
GRI
4 - 0
SOU
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
SOU
1 - 2
HUR
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
WOL
4 - 1
SOU
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
SOU
1 - 1
BRA
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |