Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
Cardiff City vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
PNE
3 - 0
CAR
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1967 |
CRY
2 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
CAR
1 - 5
DER
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
SHR
1 - 1
CAR
58%
19%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
ROT
3 - 2
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
SHR
1 - 1
CAR
58%
19%
24%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1966 |
BYM
3 - 2
SHR
81%
12%
7%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1966 |
SHR
1 - 1
BYM
25%
20%
55%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
SPO
1 - 4
SHR
45%
21%
34%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
SHR
4 - 1
SPO
66%
17%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |