Cardiff City vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 0
PLY
56%
26%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
REA
1 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 0
SHW
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
IPS
1 - 2
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 2
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 1
REA
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
REA
1 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
BIR
1 - 3
REA
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
REA
2 - 0
NOR
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
REA
1 - 0
BPO
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |