FA Cup 1/16
Global 2-2
Cardiff City vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
45.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1998 |
COL
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
NOT
3 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEY
42%
28%
30%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
CAR
1 - 0
OLD
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
STF
3 - 2
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1998 |
REA
2 - 1
CHE
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
SWI
0 - 2
REA
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1998 |
CHE
1 - 1
REA
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
REA
1 - 1
BCF
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1998 |
REA
0 - 1
MID
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |