Cardiff City vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DON
0 - 0
CAR
16%
25%
60%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
CRY
1 - 0
CAR
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
WBA
4 - 2
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
REA
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
NTT
0 - 1
CAR
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
OPA
0 - 1
WHU
31%
28%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CHL
4 - 0
OPA
86%
11%
3%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
OPA
2 - 0
WAT
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
LEI
1 - 1
OPA
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 0
OPA
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |