Cardiff City vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1954 |
CAR
2 - 1
PNE
32%
24%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1954 |
ARS
1 - 1
CAR
85%
10%
6%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1954 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1954 |
CAR
0 - 3
MAC
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1954 |
SUN
5 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
15%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1954 |
OPA
3 - 2
BUR
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1954 |
OPA
1 - 2
BOL
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1954 |
BOL
0 - 0
OPA
59%
19%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1954 |
OPA
4 - 1
MAC
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1954 |
SUN
3 - 1
OPA
54%
21%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |