Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 8-0
Cardiff City vs Pezoporikos Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
BOL
0 - 2
CAR
40%
28%
33%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1970 |
CAR
2 - 0
BIR
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1970 |
CAR
1 - 1
SHE
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
BRI
1 - 0
CAR
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
SHW
1 - 2
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |