Cardiff City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1921 |
CAR
0 - 4
ASV
29%
24%
47%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
TOT
4 - 1
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1921 |
ASV
2 - 1
CAR
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
CAR
0 - 1
TOT
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
WOL
1 - 3
CAR
48%
22%
30%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1921 |
OLD
0 - 1
MID
45%
26%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
BRA
3 - 0
OLD
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1921 |
MID
1 - 1
OLD
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
OLD
0 - 0
BRA
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
OLD
1 - 2
HUR
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |