Cardiff City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
SHE
0 - 1
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
CAR
1 - 0
BOL
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
BUR
4 - 2
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
CAR
2 - 2
CRY
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1978 |
CHA
0 - 0
CAR
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
STO
1 - 1
NOT
58%
23%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
NOT
1 - 2
SHE
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
NOT
2 - 0
CRY
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
NOT
1 - 1
MIL
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |