Cardiff City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1925 |
BOL
0 - 1
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1925 |
CAR
0 - 0
NEW
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1925 |
LEE
1 - 0
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1925 |
CAR
5 - 2
LEI
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1925 |
ASV
0 - 2
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1925 |
NOT
4 - 2
TOT
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1925 |
MAC
1 - 1
NOT
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1925 |
NOT
0 - 3
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1925 |
WBA
4 - 4
NOT
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 0
SHE
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |