Cardiff City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BRI
3 - 2
CAR
28%
26%
45%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
BBU
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
PNE
43%
25%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
WBA
1 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
BOU
3 - 0
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
NTT
3 - 0
BAR
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NTT
2 - 1
DER
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 1
NTT
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
NTT
1 - 0
ARS
7%
17%
75%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
NTT
0 - 1
HUR
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |