Cardiff City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
STO
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
WAT
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
HUR
0 - 0
CAR
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 0
DER
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 1
NTT
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
NTT
0 - 2
NOR
22%
26%
53%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NTT
1 - 1
REA
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 0
NTT
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
NTT
0 - 1
LUT
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |