Cardiff City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
CAR
2 - 1
LEI
71%
17%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
CAR
3 - 0
NEW
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1925 |
EVE
1 - 2
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
CAR
1 - 1
NOT
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1925 |
CAR
4 - 0
BUR
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
NTT
1 - 1
SUN
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
EVE
3 - 1
NTT
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
NTT
2 - 3
SHE
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
NEW
4 - 1
NTT
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1925 |
NTT
0 - 1
LIV
29%
31%
40%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |