Cardiff City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
ARS
2 - 3
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
CAR
3 - 3
MAC
46%
22%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
NTT
2 - 1
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1961 |
CAR
2 - 1
BUR
30%
23%
47%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
PNE
1 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
LEI
5 - 3
NEW
58%
19%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
NEW
3 - 3
ARS
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
MAC
3 - 3
NEW
52%
20%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1961 |
NEW
2 - 2
NTT
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
BUR
5 - 3
NEW
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |