Cardiff City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1928 |
CAR
2 - 1
LEE
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
LEE
3 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
BBU
2 - 0
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
CAR
1 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
OPA
0 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 0
WHU
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
WHU
1 - 0
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
EVE
5 - 2
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
NEW
4 - 1
DER
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
SHW
3 - 1
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |