Cardiff City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1925 |
LEE
1 - 0
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1925 |
CAR
5 - 2
LEI
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1925 |
ASV
0 - 2
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1925 |
CAR
0 - 2
MUD
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
ARS
5 - 0
CAR
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1925 |
NEW
3 - 1
TOT
62%
21%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1925 |
BCF
1 - 1
NEW
53%
24%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1925 |
NEW
1 - 3
BIR
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1925 |
HUR
0 - 1
NEW
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
NEW
0 - 0
SUN
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |